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4
27th May 19:19
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Posts: 1
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http://www.dawn.com/2004/10/17/op.htm#1
[it would be sheer folly for Pakistan to let go of a territory that has been its part for all practical purposes for more than 55 years and whose people are Kashmiris only in some remote sense: most of them, being Punjabi-speaking, do not even understand the Kashmiri language] DAWN, Karachi, Pakistan 17 October 2004 Sunday 02 Ramazan 1425 Beyond hackneyed positions By Prof. Anwar Syed anwarsyed@cox.net ...... Manmohan Singh is reported to have made it clear to Musharraf that talks between the two countries will not go forward if the infiltration of "jihadis" across the LoC continues. General Musharraf has been telling the world that his government will no longer invoke the UN resolutions of 1948-49 that called for a plebiscite in the state of Jammu and Kashmir. Our oft-repeated demand for a plebiscite, he says, has become outdated, unavailing, and dysfunctional. It has been discarded. Good, but what about India's equally oft-repeated assertion that the state is its integral part, and that the happenings there are none of Pakistan's business? This position has not been discarded but it may have undergone some change. Considering that India is willing to settle on the basis of the status quo on the ground (LoC), it is clear that it does not claim the entire state as its integral part. Its willingness to discuss the future status of the part it occupies shows that its assertion under reference is further softened. It implies the admission that the developments in that part of the state are Pakistan's business also. The substantive nature of the dispute has also changed. The issue of the legality or appropriateness of the Maharaja's accession to India has long since been abandoned. In pragmatic terms, India's justification for its occupation of the larger part of the state derives from its victory in its first war with Pakistan (October 1947 - January 1949). The ceasefire line, called the line of control (LoC) following the war in 1971, has effectively remained a line of partition in the state. As noted above, India does not claim the areas under Pakistani control. Pakistan does not expect to get Jammu (largely Hindu) or Ladakh (Buddhist). It follows that the dispute in its present version relates to the valley of Kashmir, which is overwhelmingly Muslim. In thinking about ways of resolving the dispute, certain recently formulated caveats should be kept in mind. First, Indian spokesmen insist, and General Musharraf now agrees, that the dispute is political, not religious. Second, the option of a statewide plebiscite has been given up. Third, as General Musharraf would have it, no solution can be viable unless it is acceptable to Pakistan, India, and the Kashmiris. The proposition that the issue is political, not religious, would appear to mean that Pakistan wants Kashmir not because it is largely Muslim but because it is a valuable piece of real estate and, more important, because it is the source of much of the country's water (the Jhelum river). India wants to keep the part of the state it occupies for essentially the same reason plus the fact that it seized it in war. ..... ...... At their meeting in New York, Manmohan Singh is said to have invited Musharraf to come up with new proposals for resolving their dispute. What can these be? Actually, the possible elements of a resolution are known and the job really is to find the mix that can be made acceptable to all three parties (India, Pakistan, and the Kashmiris). Of late, the idea has been circulating that the state of Jammu and Kashmir might become independent. High sounding though it may be, it is very tricky. In the Indian part of the state Jammu and Ladakh have no interest in independence. That leaves only the valley. There is no lively interest in this option in Azad Kashmir, but it may develop if Pakistan supports it with reference to the valley. In my thinking, it would be sheer folly for Pakistan to let go of a territory that has been its part for all practical purposes for more than 55 years and whose people are Kashmiris only in some remote sense: most of them, being Punjabi-speaking, do not even understand the Kashmiri language. ..... ...... In April and May of 1964, Sheikh Abdullah, with the concurrence of Prime Minister Nehru, came to Pakistan bearing proposals for settling the dispute. These were (1) an Indo-Pakistan "condominium" over Kashmir with the two governments having joint responsibility for the state's defence and foreign affairs; (2) each side giving its portion of the state maximum autonomy and recognizing the LoC as the border between them; (3) a confederation of India, Pakistan, and Kashmir. These options could not be explored because of Nehru's death in May 1964. The idea of accepting the LoC as an international border, after India has ceded some additional territory to Pakistan, has surfaced periodically. ..... ...... General Musharraf said in New York that his mind was closed to the idea of a settlement through territorial adjustments along the LoC. However, according to some Indian sources, a proposal to this effect is actually on the table in the ongoing talks between the two governments. In one version that I have seen, India may be willing to cede a few hundred square kilometres. Which way, then, shall we go? Let us first identify the problematic options: (1) the idea of a plebiscite has been discarded by both sides; (2) India will not give the valley away to Pakistan; (3) a "condominium" would be very tedious to work insofar as the state's foreign relations are concerned; (4) confederation between India, Pakistan, and the state of Jammu and Kashmir may not be a bad idea, but it is one whose time has not yet come. ...... Pakistan would do well to agree to consider territorial adjustments along the LoC and try to get India to cede as much as possible. It should also press India to allow its portion of the state internal autonomy in all matters other than defence, foreign affairs, and a couple of other subjects. I suggest that if these conditions are met, it would be in our interest to accept a modified LoC as the border between our two countries. I agree that this is not the most desirable outcome, but it is probably the best of the options actually available. |
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9
31st May 17:32
External User
Posts: 1
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http://www.nation.com.pk/daily/oct-2004/27/columns1.php
The Nation, Pakistan Wednesday, October 27, 2004 A Kashmir endgame? By HUSAIN HAQQANI hhaqqani@nation.com.pk ...... it is clearly in Pakistan's interest to start looking beyond the single -issue focus on Kashmir that has held back Pakistan's political and economic progress. Beginning with the organization in 1947-1948 of the tribal ‘lashkar' to secure Kashmir, Pakistan's approach to the resolution of the Kashmir dispute has been characterized by a series of tactical moves, lacking a coherent strategy or a planned end game. Since independence, Pakistanis have complained (with justification) that the Boundary Commission headed by Sir Cyril Radcliffe cheated them by providing India access to Muslim majority Jammu and Kashmir through Pathankot Tehsil of Gurdaspur district. But more than five decades later, there is little realistic hope of redressing historic grievances. Pakistan's tactics to redress this perceived wrong—which are often ad hoc and deployed with short-term goals in mind—have varied, ranging from airing its complaints at the United Nations to participating in military adventurism. Most importantly, Pakistan has paid a heavy price for pursuing the Kashmir dream in terms of weakened state institutions, the preeminence of the military in Pakistani society and, more recently, the growth of Islamic militancy. Pakistan's military-dominated decision-making process has resulted in combinations of short-term military and diplomatic moves without a well thought out end game for resolving the Kashmir dispute. As pointed out by retired Air Marshal Asghar Khan, Pakistan's military adventures have been launched in the "hope that world powers would come to our rescue, intervene, bring about a cease fire and somehow help us achieve our political objectives. …All our past wars with India have been fought for no purpose (and) we have suffered humiliation as a result." A feeling of insecurity against a much larger and hostile neighbor was the original source of Pakistani apprehensions about its nationhood. The emphasis on seeking to ‘complete' Pakistan by acquiring Kashmir was directly related to this sense of insecurity. But over the years, structures of conflict have evolved, with the Pakistani military as the major beneficiary of maintaining hostility. The possession of nuclear weapons gave the Pakistani military a sense of invulnerability and increased its willingness to consider options of unconventional warfare leading to the Kargil debacle. The environment of the global war against terrorism restrains Pakistan's ability to persist with its policy of supporting Islamic militancy in Indian-controlled Kashmir. But in the absence of a sustained peace process between India and Pakistan, there could always be room for new tactics that prolong the conflict and attempt to alter the status quo. For that reason, it is important for Pakistan to go beyond its maximalist demands on Kashmir and start looking at alternatives. General Musharraf's call upon Pakistanis to look at possible solutions for Kashmir would work only if the General is willing to put it into the broader context of Pakistan's structural flaws. Historically, countries dominated by Praetorian armies do not easily move away from conflict. General Musharraf might have to follow up his stated willingness to scale down Pakistani demands over Kashmir with a willingness to scale down the Pakistani military's extensive control over the country's political life. |
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10
31st May 17:32
External User
Posts: 1
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http://www.nation.com.pk/daily/oct-2004/27/columns1.php
The Nation, Pakistan Wednesday, October 27, 2004 A Kashmir endgame? By HUSAIN HAQQANI hhaqqani@nation.com.pk ...... it is clearly in Pakistan's interest to start looking beyond the single -issue focus on Kashmir that has held back Pakistan's political and economic progress. Beginning with the organization in 1947-1948 of the tribal ‘lashkar' to secure Kashmir, Pakistan's approach to the resolution of the Kashmir dispute has been characterized by a series of tactical moves, lacking a coherent strategy or a planned end game. Since independence, Pakistanis have complained (with justification) that the Boundary Commission headed by Sir Cyril Radcliffe cheated them by providing India access to Muslim majority Jammu and Kashmir through Pathankot Tehsil of Gurdaspur district. But more than five decades later, there is little realistic hope of redressing historic grievances. Pakistan's tactics to redress this perceived wrong—which are often ad hoc and deployed with short-term goals in mind—have varied, ranging from airing its complaints at the United Nations to participating in military adventurism. Most importantly, Pakistan has paid a heavy price for pursuing the Kashmir dream in terms of weakened state institutions, the preeminence of the military in Pakistani society and, more recently, the growth of Islamic militancy. Pakistan's military-dominated decision-making process has resulted in combinations of short-term military and diplomatic moves without a well thought out end game for resolving the Kashmir dispute. As pointed out by retired Air Marshal Asghar Khan, Pakistan's military adventures have been launched in the "hope that world powers would come to our rescue, intervene, bring about a cease fire and somehow help us achieve our political objectives. …All our past wars with India have been fought for no purpose (and) we have suffered humiliation as a result." A feeling of insecurity against a much larger and hostile neighbor was the original source of Pakistani apprehensions about its nationhood. The emphasis on seeking to ‘complete' Pakistan by acquiring Kashmir was directly related to this sense of insecurity. But over the years, structures of conflict have evolved, with the Pakistani military as the major beneficiary of maintaining hostility. The possession of nuclear weapons gave the Pakistani military a sense of invulnerability and increased its willingness to consider options of unconventional warfare leading to the Kargil debacle. The environment of the global war against terrorism restrains Pakistan's ability to persist with its policy of supporting Islamic militancy in Indian-controlled Kashmir. But in the absence of a sustained peace process between India and Pakistan, there could always be room for new tactics that prolong the conflict and attempt to alter the status quo. For that reason, it is important for Pakistan to go beyond its maximalist demands on Kashmir and start looking at alternatives. General Musharraf's call upon Pakistanis to look at possible solutions for Kashmir would work only if the General is willing to put it into the broader context of Pakistan's structural flaws. Historically, countries dominated by Praetorian armies do not easily move away from conflict. General Musharraf might have to follow up his stated willingness to scale down Pakistani demands over Kashmir with a willingness to scale down the Pakistani military's extensive control over the country's political life. |
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